Shopping for medical care, like reducing food waste, or understanding the adage that half of advertising is wasted*, is an exercise that first starts with disbelief (and even outrage), but a closer look keeps you grounded in reality. Simple observations are cheap. Some key findings and structural limits can guide us through why price transparency has its limits.
- Insurance messes with incentives. It does protect us with a limited downside. But your propensity to shop for a car would change dramatically if you only had to pay 15% of the bill (employer plans pay on average 85%) and even less on average after a typical $1,500 deductible is met.
- Healthcare is episodic: over half of the people who get healthcare through their employers (even greater if you’re younger) have cable bills that are higher than their total medical spend, and out-of-pocket costs are even lower based on commercially insured utilization tables. This explains why <10% of people typically shop when given the option.
- Transparency is rightly talked about alongside quality. However, everyone has a different idea of what “quality” means. And though studies show quality and price are divorced, we have a tendency to think higher cost is better–especially if we’re not paying directly.
- You can’t shop for care while on the way to the ER. According to the Health Care Cost Institute, at most, 43% of healthcare is shoppable.
- Savings from shopping is modest, even when you read all the marketing examples of 5x price differentials for infrequent procedures like knee replacements. One Notre Dame study showed that price transparency tools can lead to savings of 10-17%. Castlight Health in a recent presentation showed a case study on Kraft, including a reduction of 9% in total costs for a self-selected motived group of members. That doesn’t include the non-users, which when added would make the total impact <1% of total costs not including fees.
- These programs also cost money to manage.
An example based on $5,000 in average medical spend and assuming users shop for all dollars on the table illustrates this.
|Shoppable Portion (43%)||$2,150|
|Variation in Prices (13.5%, midpoint of ND study)||$290|
|Total savings per user per year (assuming 10% utilization)||$29|
Shop away. A typical person ends up realizing <$3.00 per month in total savings. Another person could clearly save more depending on his/her condition and cost-sharing structure of health insurance design. Just don’t expect it to revolutionize all the flaws with healthcare in America.
Notes: *even more than 50% is probably wasted due to high abandonment rates and manipulation. See Facebook example of not counting ad views of under 3 seconds.